Robust Panel Data Regression Analysis using the Least Trimmed Squares (LTS) Estimator on Poverty Line Data in Lampung Province
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Abstract
Robust regression is an alternative method in regression analysis designed to produce stable parameter estimates, even when the data contain outliers or deviate from classical assumptions. One of its estimation techniques, the Least Trimmed Square (LTS),works by minimizing the smallest squared residuals, thereby assigning smaller weights to extreme data points. This method serves as a solution when classical approaches, such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), fail to meet the assumptions, especially in socio-economic data that are often complex and prone to outliers. This study employs robust regression with the LTS estimator on panel data to examine the impact of population size , population density , and registered job vacancies on poverty lines in Lampung Province. The data cover 15 districts and cities from 2019 to 2023. The analysis results show that the model obtained has a coefficient of determination of R2=0.8909. This means that the three predictor variables can explain 89.09% of the variation in the poverty line.
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